Draft Scenarios

Scenario 1: Close Parmer Lane ES and rezone students to neighboring schools

Details & Rationale

• This scenario moves students from PfISD’s second-oldest facility into newer campuses
• All neighboring campuses under consideration are in close proximity and have 200+ vacant seats
• Parmer Lane ES is currently serving 185 dual language students from Northwest ES. This draft scenario places those students at their home campus.
• Only 199 of the students zoned to Parmer Lane ES attend the school. At least 250 students zoned to Parmer Lane ES transfer out to other PfISD or charter/private schools.

Long-Term Considerations

• Parmer Lane ES is on a major thoroughfare and is not walkable for most PfISD students
• Parmer Lane ES enrollment is expected to be within 10% of its current enrollment for the next ten years, while enrollment at neighboring campuses is expected to drop by ~20% 
• The Parmer Lane ES zone had zero home starts and zero closings, and has no future development planned.

Year One Net Operating Savings: $2,970,351

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Parmer Lane ES enrollment: 449

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

3-Year Budget Reduction Projections

Scenario 2: Close Dessau ES and rezone students to neighboring schools

Details & Rationale

• The majority of students in this recommendation would be rezoned to Delco ES. This recommendation may also require rezoning some students to Barron ES or Wieland ES, which will increase utilization at two under-utilized and higher-performing campuses.
• Delco ES was built in 2002, while Dessau ES was constructed in 1987.
• More students transfer out of Dessau ES to charter/private schools (298) than any other elementary campus within Pflugerville ISD.

Long-Term Considerations

• Despite current and planned development in the Dessau ES enrollment zone, enrollment is not expected to increase significantly in the next ten years. 
• Delco ES enrollment is expected to drop by >100 students over the next five years, with projected enrollment as low as 294 in the next decade. Without action, Delco ES utilization is expected to be 37% in five years.
• Receiving campuses have significant capacity to absorb Dessau ES students, and are projected to have more as enrollment continues to decline.

Year One Net Operating Savings: $2,983,846

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Dessau ES enrollment: 490

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 3: Close Pflugerville ES and rezone students to neighboring schools

Details & Rationale

• Close Pflugerville ES and rezone students to Wieland ES, Brookhollow ES, Carpenter ES, and/or Hidden Lake ES. 
• This scenario moves students to significantly higher-performing and newer campuses. Pflugerville ES (1978) was built well before Brookhollow ES (1995), Wieland ES (2007), Carpenter ES (2021), or Hidden Lake ES (2021).
• Pflugerville ES is losing enrollment at a faster rate than the district average. One primary driver of enrollment loss is the fact that 242 students have transferred to charter or private schools.
• Only 269 of the students zoned to Pflugerville ES attend the school. At least 290 students zoned to Pflugerville ES  transfer out to other PfISD or charter/private schools.

Long-Term Considerations

• Pflugerville ES is one of the oldest facilities within PfISD, and does not meet the capacity requirements of a modern PfISD elementary school.
• Wieland’s 10-year enrollment outlook peaks at 440 students (59% utilization).
• Pflugerville ES has declined in enrollment each year for the last six years.
• The current housing being built in the Pflugerville ES enrollment zone has a student yield of just .095 per unit, and is not expected to significantly impact enrollment.

Year One Net Operating Savings: $1,169,419

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Pflugerville ES enrollment: 366

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 4: Close Windermere ES and rezone students to neighboring schools

Details & Rationale

• This scenario moves most students to significantly newer campuses. Windermere  ES (1989) was built well before Timmerman ES (2017), Caldwell ES (2002), Highland Park ES (2006).
• Windermere ES will be repurposed for other district needs, leading to other potential cost savings across the district.
• Rezoning students to Timmerman ES will  fill one of Pflugerville ISD’s newest elementary campuses.

Long-Term Considerations

• Windermere ES enrollment is projected to drop by 150 students in the next five years. 
• Without action, Timmerman ES (built in 2017) is expected to remain under 50% utilization for the next ten years.
• There are no active subdivisions being built in the enrollment zones of any of the four schools listed in this scenario.

Year One Net Operating Savings: $2,724,826

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Windermere ES enrollment:  665

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 5: Redesign Dearing ES as a high-performing choice option

Details & Rationale

• Convert Dearing ES to an open-enrollment, high-performing choice option. 
• This scenario seeks to fill a high-quality facility and maximizes the location of Dearing ES. Dearing ES is currently at just 53% utilization.
• If this draft scenario is passed by the Board, Pflugerville ISD will implement a planning year to gather feedback from families on potential school models, with implementation set to begin in 2027-28. 

Long-Term Considerations

• Dearing ES enrollment is expected to remain at or near its enrollment level for the next ten years.
• A high-performing choice option at Dearing ES may bring in additional students from outside the district.
• Minimal develop is expected to take place within the Dearing ES enrollment zone.

Annual Net Operating Impact: TBD based on school model

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Dearing ES enrollment: 453

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 6: Rezone elementary schools east of Highway 130 to balance enrollment

Details & Rationale

• A rezoning of elementary schools east of Highway 130 will maximize enrollment at Hidden Lake ES and may prevent the need to build a new elementary school as development occurs in the existing Carpenter ES zone.
•  All schools included in this draft scenario exceed all metrics for the “Advancing Student Achievement” priority.
• Building utilization of all impacted campuses ranges from 71% - 98%.
• Each campus in this draft scenario was constructed after 2005.

Long-Term Considerations

• Carpenter ES has more expected development than any enrollment zone within PfISD, and is projected to be over capacity within 5-6 years.
• Mott ES enrollment is projected to remain stable for five years, then increase to a level that would bring 90% utilization.
• Riojas ES (-138) and Rowe Lane ES (-242) have some of the largest expected enrollment drops within PfISD in the next ten years.
• The Board may want to establish policy for a recurring boundary review process every three years.

Annual Net Operating Impact: TBD based on enrollment boundaries

Proposed Implementation Year: 2029-30

Scenario 7: Close Park Crest MS and rezone students to neighboring schools

Details & Rationale

• Middle school utilization is expected to drop from ~66% to 62% and 59% over the next five and ten years, respectively. 
• Enrollment impacts will be felt disproportionately at specific campuses, with Kelly Lane MS expected to lose 300 students by 2030-31. 
• Pflugerville MS (72%) and Park Crest MS (58%) are both projected to be below the building utilization benchmark for the next ten years.
• Park Crest MS students moving to Kelly Lane MS would expand access to the district’s highest-performing MS campus.

Long-Term Considerations 

• Broader middle school rezoning may be necessary, as Bohls MS is projected to be over capacity as soon as the 2028-29 school year.
• Without consolidation and/or rezoning, Park Crest MS utilization is projected as low as 51% and Kelly Lane MS is projected as low as 48% over the next ten years. 

Annual Net Operating Impact: $3,039,550

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Park Crest MS enrollment: 762

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 8: Close Westview MS and rezone students to neighboring schools

Details & Rationale

• Middle school utilization is expected to drop from ~66% to 62% and 59% over the next five and ten years, respectively. 
• Westview MS is the second-oldest and the lowest-performing middle school campus within PfISD. This scenario moves all students to higher-performing campuses and similar- or higher-quality facilities.
• Westview MS has received three consecutive “Academically Unacceptable” ratings from TEA.

Long-Term Considerations

• Enrollment between Westview MS and Pflugerville MS is expected to decline by approximately 180 students total over the next five years. Dessau MS enrollment is expected to remain stable over the same time period.  
• Implementing this scenario would require a broader rezoning of MS seats on the western side of the district. 

Annual Net Operating Impact: $1,959,288

Proposed Implementation Year: 2028-2029

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Westview MS enrollment: 723

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 9: Explore new programming at multiple PfISD schools

Details & Rationale

• Explore new programming models at Bohls MS, Cele MS, and Mott Elementary. 
• Bohls MS and Cele MS are projected to be the middle schools with the highest enrollment over the next ten years. This scenario seeks to maximize the number of students that will benefit from high-quality programming. 
• If passed by the Board, Pflugerville ISD will conduct a planning year to prepare for implementation beginning  in 2027-28.

Long-Term Considerations

• Bohls MS, Cele MS, and Mott ES are included in other scenarios regarding potential rezoning, due to projected demographic and enrollment changes over the next five years.
• Financial modeling for each scenario will be completed after the new programming model has been identified.

Annual Net Operating Impact: TBD based on school model

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 10: Shift high school schedules from a block schedule to a traditional 8-period day

Details & Rationale

• Declining enrollment, projected voucher impact, and structural budget deficits require the district to examine high-leverage operational adjustments at the high school level. The master schedule is one of the largest staffing and cost drivers within the system.
• Under current staffed ratios, transitioning to a traditional 8-period day generates an estimated $4,915,660 in annual cost savings through staffing efficiencies.

Long-Term Considerations

• A traditional schedule provides daily contact in core courses, more consistent pacing, and stronger alignment with dual credit, ACC, ECHS, UT OnRamps, and the new CTE Center opening in Fall 2027.
• Staffing reductions would occur through attrition where possible, with careful monitoring of program access and class sizes.
• Professional learning and pacing adjustments would be necessary to support instructional rigor within shorter daily instructional blocks.

Annual Net Operating Impact: $4,915,660

Proposed Implementation Year: 2027-28

Scenario 11: Rezone high schools within the next three years to address capacity concerns

Details & Rationale

• Uneven enrollment patterns across the district caused by larger cohorts and disproportionate development will put Weiss HS close to its capacity by Fall 2029, and may put it over capacity by 2031-32. 
• Over 400 students transfered from Pflugerville HS to another PfISD, charter, or private campus in 2024-25. That number was over 620 for Connally HS.

Long-Term Considerations

• Hendrickson HS is a likely partner to reduce Weiss HS overcrowding, but enrollment is expected to remain over 2000 until 2032-33;
• HS enrollment is expected to decrease from 7800+ in 2025-26 to ~7,650 in 2031-32, followed by a quick decline to ~6900 students in 2035-36. 
• The Board may want to establish policy for a recurring boundary review process every three years.

Annual Net Operating Impact: Not applicable

Proposed Implementation Year: 2029-30

Adv. Student Achievement

Student Persistence

Investing in People

Finance & Operations

Utilization at Nearby Campuses

Current Parmer Lane ES enrollment: 449

The number of new students each campus would need to enroll to reach utilization targets

Projected Budget Reduction Details

Scenario 12: Repurpose vacant facilities for early childhood, PACE, DAEP, and other uses

Details & Rationale

• The layout of Windermere ES facility lends itself to multiple shared uses, keeping a building within use by the district. Some construction work may be required to separate the campus for the following:  
  • Opportunity Center (DAEP) at Windermere improves the quality of the facility for current DAEP students.
  • PACE at Windermere.
  • Child care program at Windermere.
  • Extended Day Program Offices at Windermere.
• Relocate Aramark to the current PACE campus to achieve greater district efficiency.
• Relocate PfISD Central Warehouse to the current Opportunity Center (DAEP).

Long-Term Considerations

• Pflugerville ISD to explore repurposing surplus facilities and land for any operational facility that becomes vacant as a result of this draft scenario.

Annual Net Operating Impact: TBD

Proposed Implementation Year: 2028-29